Assured Guaranty - Trading Review

Posted on 01/30/2013 by Ella Gold

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NEW YORK (AVAFIN) -- A record number of Assured Guaranty call contracts were traded during the busy trading session. There were 2.5 call contracts traded for each put contract yielding a 0.39 put/call ratio where 7,758 put and 19,666 call contracts exchanged hands.

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Put/Call ratio can be regarded as a predictor of investment sentiment, indicating what experienced investors are doing in preparation for a move of an underlying equity. A high put/call ratio suggests that the investor sentiment is bearish and that investors are expecting the underlying stock price to decrease. On the other hand, a low put/call ratio implies that the investor sentiment is bullish and that investors are expecting the underlying stock price to increase. Thus, unusual volume provides reliable clues that the stock is expected to make a move.

Assured Guaranty settled the day up $0.90 to $17.90 in the previous trading session. Today's trading range was between $16.94 and $18.05 respectively. On the volume side, 6M shares were traded, which is greater than the average volume of 1M shares. AGO is trading above the 50 day moving average and higher than the 200 day moving average. The stock's 52 week low is $11.17 and 52 week high is $19.04. Within the last week, the shares have gained 5.59% of their value. The technical momentum Relative Strength Index indicator shows overbought conditions.

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Financial guarantor Assured Guaranty is the only remaining active bond insurer. Assured added to its dominance in the municipal bond insurance industry by acquiring Financial Security Assurance in 2009. Most of Assured's policies insure against default in municipal bonds, but it does have liability from structured finance, particularly from insuring portfolios of second and Alt-A mortgages.

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